| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | L | Florida | 21-66 | 1513.4 | -109.2 | 1404.2 | 10.5% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Navy | 38-30 | 1404.2 | +74.0 | 1478.2 | 17.6% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Florida International | 16-10 | 1478.2 | +5.9 | 1484.1 | 49.4% |
| 4 | Sep 27 2026 | W | UL Monroe | 45-17 | 1484.1 | +31.9 | 1516.0 | 77.3% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Texas Southern | 66-10 | 1516.0 | +12.8 | 1528.7 | 98.4% |